Poker Winrate Sample Size
- [OFFICIAL] Winrates, bankrolls, and finances - Live Low.
- Online Poker Strategy, Tips, Rakeback and Bonuses - PokerVIP.
- Estimating Your Winrate - Card Player Poker Magazine - Mar 28, 2018.
- Sample size and winrate - Run It Once Poker Training.
- How many hands is a good sample size for evaluating win rate etc? poker.
- Texas hold em - Poker Stack Exchange.
- Understanding Win Rates in Poker - MicroGrinder Poker School.
- Good Poker Win Rate For Small Stakes (2022 Update) - BlackRain79.
- Is Online Poker Rigged? The Definitive Answer - Professional RakeBack.
- What I learnt playing 500k hands of online cash game poker.
- Cash Game Sample Size Question - Poker Advice - PocketFives.
- Optimal Win Rate Standard Deviation - Poker Stack Exchange.
- Variance - Poker Definition | 888poker.
[OFFICIAL] Winrates, bankrolls, and finances - Live Low.
Sample = how many hands for that particular situation. Description = the hand type. Also included are 3bet, cold calling data, and multi-way data - so it is useful for almost all preflop situations when building poker ranges. Get your free poker range construction bonus pack (including the free 20 million hand poker database excel sheet)!. Jan 30, 2012 · The best online $25.00/$50.00 player in the world is probably going to have a long-term winrate that is much lower, probably measured in the low single digits in terms of BB/100. They have an edge, but their edge is smaller. So their variance and StdDev are going to be higher than the world's best $0.05/$0.10 player. Now remember that the 95% confidence interval is within two SDs. Thus for 10k hands your true win rate is 500BB +/- 2*600BB, or per 100 hands 5BB +/- 12BB. Your true winrate is with 95% confidence between -7BB/100 and 17BB/100. See what I was talking about with the 10k sample size being laughable above What about 100k hands now ? Earnings are 5.
Online Poker Strategy, Tips, Rakeback and Bonuses - PokerVIP.
Serious poker players are always trying to estimate their winrates. These estimates help inform all sorts of decisions—bankroll decisions, decisions about taking shots at bigger games, decisions. In our editorial Online Poker Rigged?A Thorough, Informed Discussion, we explain how even a sample of 200,000 hands wouldn't be enough to make conclusions about the Random Number Generator (RNG) that's used to deal the cards.With a winrate of 2 bb/100 and a standard deviation of 90bb/100, there was a really wide range of possible outcomes, and even with these parameters, the probability of a.
Estimating Your Winrate - Card Player Poker Magazine - Mar 28, 2018.
Nov 13, 2007 · 0.05 BB/100 mains < winrate < 10 BB/100 mains That is to say that the only 95% confidence info we get from a 100 000 hand sample (with a 5BB/100 hands observed on this sample), is that we are a winning (or even a breakeven) player. For some player, with a lower variance style, the situation is better, but still nothig spectacular.
Sample size and winrate - Run It Once Poker Training.
301-500 When I'm playing smart and not more than 6 tabling. I would day my winrate is around 4BB/100 when that is happening, prob play around 400-500 hands in an hour, all $200nl right now. So like $64-80/hr, too bad I don't put in more volume. I kid I kid. Link to post.
How many hands is a good sample size for evaluating win rate etc? poker.
Find out your winning chances with our poker odds calculator. Quickly get odds for any scenario in Texas Holdem, Omaha or Short Deck.... Pot odds mean the ratio between the size of the pot and the bet or raise you're facing. In case the pot is $100 and your opponent is betting $50, you're risking $50 to win $150 in case you decide to call.. For example, if you want to make 10bbs per 100 hands at 50NL with average rake of -8bb/100. Hero Winrate = (Fish Loserate - Fish Rake) / Number of regs - Hero Rake. 10 = (Fish Loserate - 8)/5 - 8. Fish Loserate = 98бб/100. Thus, without any changes in your skill level, you can have a winrate of 10bb/100 today, if you start selecting.
Texas hold em - Poker Stack Exchange.
In this article I want to discuss 6 of the major differences between playing poker live and online, and how you can improve your winrate by adjusting to them. To alleviate some of the confusion let's use the assumptions of a standard live $1/$2 game versus a standard 50NL full-ring online game. The black dotted line indicates a constant 6bb/100 winrate; in other words, the average result. We should be able to see that it is possible for a 6bb/100 winner (pretty decent winrate in today's games), to actually lose over a sample size of 100,000 hands.
Understanding Win Rates in Poker - MicroGrinder Poker School.
It's very common to see winrate potential quickly lower around 100NL or 200NL, but at that point you should be looking at $/hour instead of just bb/100 imo. You need a big sample size to have even decent winrate data on a player (like, 40K+ hands of just them), so don't put too much stock into the winrates of players you have limited info on.
Good Poker Win Rate For Small Stakes (2022 Update) - BlackRain79.
I will also be assuming that your poker winrate is in the elite top 5%-10% of players. These are the people who beat the games for the very highest winrates possible. Keep in mind that most people actually lose at poker in the long run (i.e. their poker hourly rate will be a negative number). NL2 - $4 an hour NL5 - $7 an hour NL10 - $10 an hour. Hi, I have had a very good start into this poker year and am quite happy about it. Whats weird is that my winrate on the BTN is by far the lowest. Jan 01, 2021 · 1. Jan 2, 2021. #2. As you say, you cant really draw any solid conclusions after just 12k hands, since the standard variation is then probably still close to 10BB / 100. And even if the difference.
Is Online Poker Rigged? The Definitive Answer - Professional RakeBack.
October 2014 edited January 2017. I think I've heard as a rule of thumb that over a statistically significant sample one should expect to earn between 5-10 big bets per hour at small stakes NL live games. I mainly play $1/3 which would mean I should expect to be able to earn upwards of $30 an hour on the average. Reading between the lines of. To draw that conclusion you probably need to have at least 50 or even better 100 hands. You usually need a very large sample of your opponent to make good decisions. Hundreds of hands (in my.
What I learnt playing 500k hands of online cash game poker.
Apr 30, 2010 · The tough part about win rates in live poker is the fact that there is such a small sample size. On average, players see 20 - 25 hands/hr at a live casino. This is a nothing compared to the 60+ hands per hr/table you see online. Your winrate will change when you start playing full-time; For instance, a $1/$2 live player has been crushing for $32/hr over the last month (60hrs of play). Forgetting for a moment that 60hrs of live play is only about 1.8K hands, which is a very minimal sample size - they would start calculating a possible full-time poker income.
Cash Game Sample Size Question - Poker Advice - PocketFives.
A dream for amateurs who felt the rush of huge poker scores - but being a poker pro isn't easy - Here's all you need to know about professional poker.... A good way to judge if you're ready is to review your results over time using a significant sample size. This doesn't mean you can look at a three-week heater or your results over a two. So WTSD is very important when determining what type of poker player you are up against. In general, a WTSD below 25 is a tight poker player who only goes to showdown with good hands. And somebody with a WTSD above 25 is typically a looser poker player who goes to showdown with mediocre hands. Most recreational poker players will have a WTSD of. Mar 09, 2020 · So, when a live player plays 1,000 hands then hits the forums to brag about his “ sick winrate ”, we should be able to see that such a sample size is non-representative. Ideally, we’d have at least 300,000 hands (preferably more) before being able to know our actual winrate.
Optimal Win Rate Standard Deviation - Poker Stack Exchange.
What is Variance in Poker? Variance refers to the short term deviation of our winrate from our expected results. For example, we might be a confirmed 6bb/100 winner, but it's rare our winrate will show exactly 6bb/100 over a given sample.This is referred to as variance. Generally, the larger the sample size of hands, the closer our winrate.
Variance - Poker Definition | 888poker.
"A 95% confidence interval for your winrate over 50k hands is going to span about 16 bb/100 (e.g. -8 bb/100 to 8 bb/100). So obviously your winrate over 50k hands doesn't really say much." Would be greatful if you could tell me what i am miss understanding. Dec 27, 2019 · 1. 5% uncapped rake, (Its microstake so its almost never going to reach the max pot) 2. How many hands or how big of your sample size you need to determining your true win rate. Thx. Click to. Rough ballpark figures for good and great winrates. 1 – 4 bb/100 = Great. A solid winrate if you can sustain it. 5 – 9 bb/100 = Amazing. This is a very high winrate at any level. Consider moving up. 10+ bb/100 = Immense. Very, very few have a winrate like this. You probably have a small sample size though.
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